Monday, May 29, 2006

Responses to comments on Conservative Home

There has been some reaction to this post on ConservativeHome. Here's my view on the comments:

1. Tim Montgomery made a number of very sensible remarks about the usefulness of the statistics. Please note them but bear in mind that the pool is large enough to represent a trend, and the trend is not good.

2. This is not an anti-A list statistical analysis. The data is compiled in a purely objective manner despite my own belief that local constituencies, that those who donate their spare time to fighting the elections are perfectly capable of selecting their candidate by democratic vote. If you wish to see the data, then let me know and I will forward it.

3. The analysis cannot say whether having an A list is good or bad. That will not be possible until an A-list of candidates stand and I have some electoral data to analyse. What these statistics aim to discover is whether the composition of the A list looks right. It doesn't.

On the other hand, as Tim alludes to, the accusation that the male A-listers are superior to the female A-listers is not borne out by the analysis which suggests relatively equal performance.

4. There are a few comments about individual candidates and circumstances. Kit Malthouse has written to me to inform me that he did stand in 1997 and heavily outperformed the national performance. Tim Collins fares well as his performance takes in account his result in 2001 as well as 2005, suggesting Labs voting Lib Dem cost him his seat. Karen Bradley was as someone rightly says, parachuted in at the last moment. Unlike that commentator, I do know Karen and she would make an excellent candidate and MP - given suitable time to campaign.

5. When I get the time, I will be happy to do more analyses, as a number of commentators suggest, eg

- benefits of Ashcroft money
-taking regional swings into account
- those not on the A list
- impact of selecting candidates shortly before the general election versus selecting 2 years ahead

- comparison to elected MPs

19 Comments:

At 4:17 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I say briefly: Best! Useful information. Good job guys.
»

 
At 7:24 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Super color scheme, I like it! Good job. Go on.
»

 
At 4:21 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wazzzzup!
viagra
http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025e.htm?viagra
[url=http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025e.htm?viagra]viagra[/url]
cialis
http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025d.htm?cialis
[url=http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025d.htm?cialis]cialis[/url]
soma
http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025f.htm?soma
[url=http://e-courses.cerritos.edu/ssmout/HED%20103/HED%20103/0000025f.htm?soma]soma[/url]
Thanks.

 
At 8:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Super site!
prilosec
http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/00000078.htm?prilosec
[url=http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/00000078.htm?prilosec]prilosec[/url]
levaquin
http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/00000079.htm?levaquin
[url=http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/00000079.htm?levaquin]levaquin[/url]
fosamax
http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/0000007a.htm?fosamax
[url=http://courses.dsu.edu/ttla/_discTTLA/0000007a.htm?fosamax]fosamax[/url]
G'night.

 
At 12:07 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Halo!
prilosec
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/0000034f.htm?prilosec
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/0000034f.htm?prilosec]prilosec[/url]
levaquin
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000350.htm?levaquin
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000350.htm?levaquin]levaquin[/url]
fosamax
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000351.htm?fosamax
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000351.htm?fosamax]fosamax[/url]
Thanks.

 
At 5:41 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You are best!
prozac
http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e3.htm?prozac
[url=http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e3.htm?prozac]prozac[/url]
paxil
http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e4.htm?paxil
[url=http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e4.htm?paxil]paxil[/url]
zoloft
http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e5.htm?zoloft
[url=http://psysoc.colstate.edu/_SocClubExecForum/000004e5.htm?zoloft]zoloft[/url]
Best wishes.

 
At 12:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wazzzzup!
lipitor
http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e4.htm?lipitor
[url=http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e4.htm?lipitor]lipitor[/url]
cipro
http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e3.htm?cipro
[url=http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e3.htm?cipro]ciprol[/url]
testosterone
http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e2.htm?testosterone
[url=http://arnica.csustan.edu/evolution/_disc1/000001e2.htm?testosterone]testosterone[/url]
Thanks.

 
At 4:31 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Interesting!
phentermine
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000364.htm?phentermine
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000364.htm?phentermine]phentermine[/url]
viagra
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000365.htm?viagra
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000365.htm?viagra]viagra[/url]
zocor
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000366.htm?zoloft
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000366.htm?zoloft]zocor[/url]
Thanks.

 
At 3:31 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You are best!
phentermine
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000364.htm?phentermine
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000364.htm?phentermine]phentermine[/url]
viagra
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000365.htm?viagra
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000365.htm?viagra]viagra[/url]
zocor
http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000366.htm?zoloft
[url=http://www.csusm.edu/ScienceAndSociety/_LBST301-99/00000366.htm?zoloft]zocor[/url]
Thanks.

 
At 9:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi all!Nice day
prednisone
http://viagra-store.info/00001001.htm?prednisone
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001001.htm?prednisone]prednisone[/url]
augmentin
http://viagra-store.info/00001002.htm?augmentin
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001002.htm?augmentin]augmentin[/url]
levaquin
http://viagra-store.info/00001003.htm?levaquin
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001003.htm?levaquin]levaquin[/url]
prilosec
http://viagra-store.info/00001004.htm?prilosec
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001004.htm?prilosec]prilosec[/url]
Thanks

 
At 6:22 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hello
prednisone
http://viagra-store.info/00001001.htm?prednisone
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001001.htm?prednisone]prednisone[/url]
augmentin
http://viagra-store.info/00001002.htm?augmentin
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001002.htm?augmentin]augmentin[/url]
levaquin
http://viagra-store.info/00001003.htm?levaquin
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001003.htm?levaquin]levaquin[/url]
prilosec
http://viagra-store.info/00001004.htm?prilosec
[url=http://viagra-store.info/00001004.htm?prilosec]prilosec[/url]
Thanks

 
At 6:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hi
levitra
http://faculty.plattsburgh.edu/mark.beatham/_CIE2001F/000007ba.htm
[url=http://faculty.plattsburgh.edu/mark.beatham/_CIE2001F/000007ba.htm]levitra[/url]
order viagra
http://www.costnet.com/_stock/000005c8.htm
[url=http://www.costnet.com/_stock/000005c8.htm]order viagra[/url]
buy viagra
http://department.monm.edu/uptildawn/forum/0000210a.htm
[url=http://department.monm.edu/uptildawn/forum/0000210a.htm]buy viagra[/url]
viagra online
http://unixfp.iglou.com/yamin/_2005YAConfdisc/00002ad2.htm
[url=http://unixfp.iglou.com/yamin/_2005YAConfdisc/00002ad2.htm]viagra online[/url]
Regards

 
At 12:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[url=http://www.xbox360achievements.org/forum/member.php?u=259462]mexitil discount[/url]

 
At 10:46 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[url=http://www.xbox360achievements.org/forum/member.php?u=259462]mexitil online ordering[/url]

 
At 2:48 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Inquire there Our Indelicate Prices at www.Pharmashack.com, The Unequalled [b][url=http://www.pharmashack.com]Online Apothecary's [/url][/b] To [url=http://www.pharmashack.com]Buy Viagra[/url] Online ! You Can also Sense Capacious Deals When You [url=http://www.pharmashack.com/en/item/cialis.html]Buy Cialis[/url] and When You You [url=http://www.pharmashack.com/en/item/levitra.html]Buy Levitra[/url] Online. We Also Performers a Interminable Generic [url=http://www.pharmashack.com/en/item/phentermine.html]Phentermine[/url] On account of Your Nutriment ! We Score of slog away away Respect habitual [url=http://www.pharmashack.com/en/item/viagra.html]Viagra[/url] and Also [url=http://www.pharmashack.com/en/item/generic_viagra.html]Generic Viagra[/url] !

 
At 11:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://markonzo.edu http://blog.tellurideskiresort.com/members/amoxil-500-mg.aspx http://blog.bakililar.az/metronidazole/ female http://riderx.info/members/amaryl-side-effects-amaryl-tabs.aspx http://blog.bakililar.az/zyrtecs/ novo http://profiles.friendster.com/lipitor#moreabout http://blog.bakililar.az/norvasc/ sambion http://aviary.com/artists/Atenolol-oral http://blog.bakililar.az/valtrex/ gner incomeby http://www.ecometro.com/Community/members/buy-hydrocodone.aspx

 
At 12:06 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You could easily be making money online in the undercover world of [URL=http://www.www.blackhatmoneymaker.com]blackhat community[/URL], Don’t feel silly if you don't know what blackhat is. Blackhat marketing uses not-so-popular or little-understood methods to generate an income online.

 
At 3:16 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Stopping the use of Propecia will result in the loss of all progress over time. In male pattern baldness hair is lost in a very predictable pattern that begins at the temples as the hairline starts to recede and the hair thins on the crown of the head. [url=http://www.hesitantrhino.com/]propecia pills[/url] Propecia as a hair loss solution Studies conducted on men who are suffering from male pattern baldness have shown that a significant number of men can achieve satisfactory results from the use of Propecia.

 
At 4:23 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

foorkslorce xaikalitag IcereeSteegup [url=http://uillumaror.com]iziananatt[/url] beclaictawl http://gusannghor.com sleeryslefofe

 

Post a Comment

<< Home