Wednesday, May 31, 2006

Comments on the TaxCutter's A list stats

I have received a number of eMails on the stats I produced. Here are the best two contributions, both of which I have anonymised and edited, but hopefully not so much that the author's message has been altered.

I will produce more statistics when I get time ... I do have a totally non-political job to do during the day. Please note that I've not suggested that there is any difference between the male and female A listers from the stats I've produced - the results to me appear to be near-enough equal

From an A lister high up on my list

Extract below ..... some useful comments here maybe for the rest of the A list

I attribute my result to:
(a) Bloody hard work - still the determining factor to my mind
(b) Strong local campaigning, particulary on crime and a myriad of local issues
(c) Michael Ashcroft's support in 2005; and
(d) my 'normal' (comprehensive school, worked in business, young family) background which has helped me to reach out to far more people in my life than any gender, sexual preference, race or religon ever would.

From an A lister lower down my list


..... can you produce an adjusted index, or possibly two, adjusting for number of Conservative Party members in the Constituency – I had 3 – and time spent in the post before the election – I had 3.5 months.

Also, an adjustment for time spent working in nearby target seats might be appropriate – I worked half my time for [major Conservative MP in key marginal], in the spirit of teamwork and wishing to add value to the Conservative Party, rather than squeeze every last decimal point in [constituency edited for anonymity]. Perhaps this was not the best strategy, in retrospect.

and from the same source in a later eMail

Incidentally, Andrew Percy effectively ran David Davis’s campaign at Haltemprice and Howden as well as nominally fighting Normanton. He worked probably 12 hours a day, on average, for DD throughout the entire campaign. At the time,H&H was at risk and he achieved a very good swing. There must be a number more like that on the list. I do understand your point, but there are so many factors. There is also the fact that women were very significantly more represented in the unwinnables and Northern seats than in the country overall and, how about this one, being such team players, women no doubt worked a lot in their neighbouring marginals, as instructed...

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